Was 9/11 a shift of polarities or identities? (Week 5 Pre-class Blog)
September 11th, 2001 is now memorialized in the
collective memory of the United States. American children are already being
taught about this relatively recent event in terms of its historical
importance. Throughout history single events have symbolically signaled a shift
in world views, international structured ideas, and norms. I argue that
September 11th is one of the most recent monumental shifts in international
relations equivalent to the peace at Westphalia, and the Berlin wall. The point
of debate in this blog is whether these events can be explained by neorealists who
maintain a competitive and self-interested inherent state of nature or
constructivists who challenge how we see the state of nature and its relation
to human behavior. Institutionalism will not be discussed although it also has
a significant weight in the argument considering the high level international
organizations have attained.
Neorealists supplemented rational-based models by accepting
that change can occur within international frameworks. They maintain that competition
and conflict are inevitable within the state of nature because of two correlating
factors. In an anarchic order, states must provide security from threats that
are naturally found in nature. The second is that these threats, whether actual
or perceived, abound. Logically, states then seek to acquire more power and
this accrual of both defensive and offensive weapons makes other states feel
less secure. Waltz then extrapolates on whether a multipolar or bipolar world
would ultimately be better. Both choices have unique power play politics which
must be considered. A multipolar world is dangerous because states are required
to calculate decisions and actions. One small miscalculation can bring about
war and with so many equals who may have alliances, destruction can be grave. WWI
is a good example of this. A bipolar world in Waltz’s view is less dangerous
since the two dominant states are not likely to engage in direct war and the
greatest danger is in them overreacting.
I believe a Neorealist would explain September 11th
in terms of a largely unipolar world shifting to a multipolar world. Economic
prosperity throughout the 80s and 90s in previously second world nations mixed
with a predatory unipolar power caused conflict which then further isolated
that unipolar power as it sought to maintain unipolarity. This can also now
explain the tense relations the US is currently facing with its neighbors. Miscalculation
and confusion are rampant in current international relations and can presently
be seen in US foreign trade policy. A neorealist could make the argument that
the ideas which catapulted President Trump to the White house are the result of
a unipolar power desperately trying to fool the world into believing that it
has not become multipolar.
Constructivists disagree with neorealists principle
assumption that self-help, or the accrual of security, is an integral part of
the state of nature. They believe that the only things which endogenously make
up the state of nature are agency and material. We must be able to choose, and
we must have materials, even if only our own bodies. Everything which follows
is then exogenous from the state of nature and completely derived from
experience and expectation. If no experience is had to suggest that one’s
security is in danger, then seeking security will not come naturally. Furthermore,
once a precondition is set it can be difficult to redirect or change since it
becomes institutionalized into societal norms. Change is possible but requires
a complete breakdown of consensus about identity commitments, critical examination
of self and other paradigms, and seeking to change how your identity is viewed
by others.
The events of September 11th and after it in a constructivist’s
view would be an example of dramatic shifts in identity commitments primarily
in Middle East nations. The ensuing Arab Spring lends credit to this theory by showing
that preconceived notions of identity and power in Arab countries was changing
as well as the way they interact with the US and its allies.
I personally question whether security seeking
and threats are an inherent part of the state of nature. September 11th was a violent act which set the stage for further change, but I think that we would be shortsighted if we only saw the events which followed as products of those correlating principles. Could this have been a symbolic shift that preceded the Arab spring because a fundamental shift in identity was occurring?
Works Cited
Waltz, Kenneth N. "The Origins of War in Neorealist Theory." The Journal of Interdisciplinary History 18, no. 4 (1988): 615-28. doi:10.2307/204817.
Wendt, Alexander. "Anarchy Is What States Make of It: The Social Construction of Power Politics." International Organization 46, no. 2 (1992): 391-425. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2706858
As bothTed and yourself have tangentially pointed out, we seem to be moving toward not just a bipolar, but multipolar international system as formerly developing nation's economies speed along and their populations demand the same kind of lifestyles they've seen for decades in the west. How do you think current great powers will react to this threat to their supremacy, based on a contructivist's security-based approach to sovreignity?
ReplyDeleteI agree that for the longest we have been a unipolar world, with the United States accruing the majority of material resources. You mention that post 9/11 we have shifted to multipolarity. Certainly, the United States' tremendous effort and response to 9/11 showed a nation desperately reasserting its global dominance. I could definitely see this as a play to maintain unipolarity. What actors would you say are rising from this shift to multipolarity?
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